Blog Post

A quick review of 2016 presidential endorsements

March 11, 2016 | by NCC Staff

As the American people get ready for another presidential election season, it’s time to review one of our political traditions: party, media and celebrity campaign endorsements.

endorsements320Picking favorites in presidential campaigns is a long tradition – one that started when George Washington refused to run for a third term in 1796. Back then, many newspapers had direct affiliations with political parties, and they used editorial pieces and cartoons to sway voters.

A famous example was the 1860 New York Times endorsement of Abraham Lincoln, who the newspaper said was “age 51, height six feet seven, by profession Rail-Splitter.”

Political party officials, to be sure, have long had an active voice in promoting their favorite candidates, such as Andrew Jackson’s support for Martin Van Buren, and Theodore Roosevelt’s endorsement of William Howard Taft.

Celebrity endorsements are a newer phenomenon, starting in the 1920 presidential campaign. Candidate Warren Harding enlisted singer Al Jolson, and actors Mary Pickford and Douglas Fairbanks to campaign for him in a movie directed by an advertising agency. Frank Sinatra and his “Rat Pack” friends also were used to promote John F. Kennedy’s campaign in 1960.

In 2016, there are certainly an eclectic set of endorsements so far. For the Republicans, the four remaining candidates’ endorsements reflect their campaign personalities, and their political connections.

The current GOP front runner, Donald Trump, has a mixture of current national political figures (Chris Christie, Sarah Palin), business leaders (Carl Icahn, Steve Forbes) and a few reality TV stars (Omarosa Manigault, Hulk Hogan) that support his outsider image.

Marco Rubio has an extensive list of Washington figures (Darrell Issa, Orin Hatch), business leaders (Larry Ellison), and celebs (Donnie Wahlberg, Rick Harrison from “Pawn Stars”), while Ted Cruz has media figures (Glenn Beck, Mark Levin), a business leader (Jack Welch) and some celebs, too (James Woods, Chuck Norris). John Kasich earned the important endorsement in Ohio from football coach Urban Meyer and Trump’s successor on “The Apprentice,” Arnold Schwarzenegger.

For the Democrats, Hillary Clinton’s multi-year campaign has yielded a huge number of endorsements, ranging from her husband, former Clinton admiration officials, many Democrats in Washington, and a slew of union and state officials. Pop culture names supporting Clinton include Katy Perry, Kim Kardashian and Beyonce.

Bernie Sanders’s supporters reflect his grassroots, outsider campaign. Sanders does have some union endorsements, and his mass-media supporters include Bill Maher, Daniel Craig, Ronda Rousey, Susan Sarandon, and his early supporter, rapper Killer Mike. So far, most newspaper endorsements have been limited to the primaries.

One outstanding question, at least among political watchers, is one about the impact of endorsements in general. Back in 2011, Nate Silver on his FiveThirtyEight blog noted the person with the most newspaper endorsements didn’t always win the general election.

“Newspaper endorsements, however, do not guarantee endorsements from electoral college voters,” he said. “The winner of the most editorial approvals has lost the election three times since 1972 — in 1976, 1996 and 2004. The endorsement leader has matched the election winner in the seven other elections, but that may be because before 1992 it always favored the G.O.P., and those years happened to see a string of Republican presidents.”

And what about celebrity endorsements? An academic study looked at the effect of Oprah Winfrey’s support of Barack Obama’s campaign in 2008 – a high-water mark for celeb endorsements. It found that Winfrey brought in about 1 million additional votes for Obama, who defeated John McCain by about 9.5 million votes in the general election.

Endorsements So Far In 2016

The Republicans

Donald Trump

Alex Jones

Ann Coulter

Brian France, NASCAR CEO

Carl Icahn

Chris Christie

Dana White

Duncan Hunter

Gary Busey

Hulk Hogan

Jan Brewer

Jeff Sessions

Jerry Falwell Jr.

Jon Voight

Michael Savage

Omarosa Manigault

Paul LePage

Paul Teutul

Sarah Palin

Sheriff Joe Arpaio

Steve Forbes

Steve Wynn

Tom Brady

Willie Robertson

Ted Cruz

Carly Fiorina

Chuck Norris

Glenn Beck

Jack Welch

James Woods

Jeff Duncan

Mark Levin

Mark Sanford

Meghan McCain

Mike Lee

Neil Bush

Phil Bryant

Phil Robertson

Steve King

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott

Tony Perkins

Marco Rubio

Bob Dole

Bobby Jindal

Donnie Wahlberg

George Pataki

Larry Ellison

Darrell Issa

Jeff Flake

Jim Inhofe

Lamar Alexander

Nikki Haley

Mia Love

Susana Martinez

Orrin Hatch

Pat Roberts

Rick Harrison (Pawn Stars)

Rick Santorum

Tennessee Gov. Bill Haslam

Trey Gowdy

John Kasich

Arnold Schwarzenegger

Charles Barkley

Christine Todd Whitman

Gregg Harper

John Sununu

Mary Bono

Pat Tiberi

Ray LaHood

Rob Portman

Robert Bentley

Steve Stivers

Tim Allen

Urban Meyer

The Democrats

Hillary Clinton

American Federation of Teachers

Beyonce

Claire McCaskill

Current governors (14) and former governors (35)

Current Senators (40) and Representatives (165)

Former President Bill Clinton

Harry Reid

Howard Stern

J.J. Abrams

Jim Clyburn

John Lewis

Katy Perry

Kim Kardashian

National Education Association

Numerous former Clinton Administration officials

Steven Spielberg

Tim Gunn

Bernie Sanders

Alan Grayson

American Postal Workers Union

Ben Jealous

Bill Maher

Cenk Uyger

Communications Workers of America

Daniel Craig

Diplo

Kal Penn

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

Killer Mike

Michael Keaton

Michael Moore

Raúl Grijalva

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

Robert Reich

Ronda Rousey

Roseanne Barr

Susan Sarandon

Tulsi Gabbard


 
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